The Canadian economy would likely fall into recession if the country loses preferential trade access to the United States ...

The probability that the National Bureau of Economic Research will someday determine a national recession began in the U.S. between December 2025 and December 2026 has fallen below twenty percent.

At a glance, first quarter GDP was a flashing red warning light, as the economy contracted at an annualized rate of 0.5%. Under the hood, the details were more encouraging: The decrease reflected ...

The unsettling news flow has triggered warnings in some circles that the end is near for the current economic expansion. The current analysis continues to indicate that recession risk is low. To be ...