The Treasury curve was down 13 basis points at 2 years and was down 5 basis points at 10 years over the last week. As a result, the current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread narrowed to negative ...

The probability of the inverted yield curve ending by February 9, 2024, is 32.8%, compared to 20.4% last week. There is a 23.4% probability of negative 3-month bill rates by February 5, 2027. The ...