To his credit, Kasy is a realist here. He doesn’t presume that any of these proposals will be easy to implement. Or that it will happen overnight, or even in the near future. The troubling question at ...

AI agents help businesses stop guessing — linking predictions to actions so teams can move from “what might happen” to ...

Every three months, participants in the Metaculus forecasting cup try to predict the future for a prize pot of about $5,000. Metaculus, a forecasting platform, poses questions of geopolitical ...

For years, the strange phenomenon of precognition–an unwavering “gut feeling” that something will happen in the future–has puzzled scientists. The eerie concept may sound far-fetched, but many studies ...

Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction to fill in missing data points. We need a more ...

Humans have always been fascinated by the prospect of knowing the future. Astrology has always been a part of the quest for ...

When we set our expectations and operate based on the sequence of events that unfolded the last time a similar situation has occurred, we surrender to history.

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. author of Chained to the Desk in a Hybrid World: A Guide to Balance. This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more. This ...