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Interest Rate Probability Distributions Implied by Derivatives Prices is a daily measure of the distribution of future short-term interest rates, calculated from prices of fixed-income derivatives ...

Predicting how complex stochastic systems respond to small external perturbations is central in physics, climate science, and engineering. We combine the generalized fluctuation–dissipation theorem ...

PyApp seems to be taking the Python world by storm, providing long-awaited click-and-run Python distribution. For developers who need a little more versatility, there’s uv. Find these tools and more ...

This methodological article aims to present the type I Pareto distribution in a clear and illustrative manner for better understanding among social researchers. It also provides R scripts for ...

Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...

Abstract: The probability and possibility theories are two particular cases of the more general theory of evidence, and probability distribution and possibility distribution (PD) are two different, ...

The mathematician Daniel Litt has driven social media users to distraction with a series of simple-seeming but counterintuitive probability puzzles. In late January, Daniel Litt posed an innocent ...

When is it appropriate to completely reinvent the wheel? To an outsider, that seems to happen a lot in category theory, and probability theory isn’t spared from this treatment. We’ve had a useful ...